Nate Silver“Well, Shapiro is extremely popular as governor of the most important battleground state ever. He’s extremely charismatic and qualified. He seems to want the job. This is as obvious as it gets in politics. You’d need a very good reason not to pick Shapiro. And, as you’ll see here, the case against Shapiro is pretty damning.”
“Even without the Pennsylvania factor, Shaprio would have been the best choice. Let’s say he was the extremely popular governor and former two-term attorney general of New Jersey, which isn’t exactly a deep blue state, but it’s not a battleground state either. He has more televisible political talent than the other white men Harris is considering, is at the prime age for a VP candidate (51) and has business experience. He would certainly be on Harris’ shortlist, and maybe even be No. 1.”
“But Pennsylvania is a very tough tiebreaker. It has a 35 percent chance of being a tipping point state that will have a decisive effect in a close election, much more so than any other state.”
Members Ahead: Kamala Harris knows who she’ll pick
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