The arrival of Election Day can now be measured in hours rather than months, weeks, or days. This means that voters who have not yet made up their minds will ultimately have to choose a side.
Polling expert Frank Luntz said Americans who are truly undecided at this late stage probably won’t vote for Donald Trump or Kamala Harris and may even skip the election. .
But he believes there are committed and persuasive voters who could make up the difference. And the latest data shows signs that voters are gritting their teeth, holding their noses, and choosing between the two people they don’t like.
Latest new york times/Siena College Poll Data released Sunday showed close races in seven key battleground states. However, some people who have made decisions in the past few days… Harris has a 58% to 42% advantage.
However, there are regional differences that can confuse electoral rolls and upset expectations about which states will provide the winning votes.
Among the Sun Belt’s late deciders, Harris leads 66% to 34%, according to . times. Among latecomers to North Korea, Trump has a 60% to 40% lead.
The numbers mean Democrats’ so-called blue wall strategy of securing victory through Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin may be in jeopardy. But they also suggest that the Harris River has an alternative route through parts of the south and west.
in times Polls show Harris with a three-point lead in Nevada, Wisconsin and North Carolina, and a one-point lead in Georgia. Trump has a four-point lead in Arizona and a one-point lead in Michigan. Both candidates are tied in Pennsylvania. However, the results for all seven states were within sampling error.
On the other hand, those who are closely followed are: des moines register/mediacom iowa poll A poll conducted by Selzer & Company found Ms. Harris leading Mr. Trump 47% to 44%, a stunning reversal from September.
The numbers shocked election observers late Saturday. This signaled not only that a deep red state could suddenly take power, but also that support for Harris could increase in other parts of the Midwest.
That same poll in 2020 put a damper on Democrats’ hopes for a landslide in the region, as other polls showed Joe Biden with a wide lead. In the final tally of votes, Mr. Trump had narrow margins in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
Elsewhere, prediction markets have swung wildly over the past week, from giving Trump a strong advantage to showing a dead heat or a slight edge for Harris.
Thomas Miller, a data scientist at Northwestern University, said: luck Recently, it has been reported that President Trump suffered a historic collapse in the final stages of the campaign, which could result in Harris winning the election.
The turning point came late last month during Trump’s rally at Madison Square Garden. It was then that comedian Tony Hinchcliffe called Puerto Rico a “garbage island in the middle of the ocean”, sparking a massive backlash.
Join some of the brightest minds and boldest leaders in business at the Fortune Global Forum in New York City on November 11th and 12th. Thought-provoking sessions and off-the-record discussions will feature Fortune 500 CEOs, former Cabinet members, global ambassadors, seven-time world champion Tom Brady, and more.
See the full agenda or request an invitation here.
