According to the survey This is a weekly column rounds out three of the most important voting trends or data points you need to know. In addition to updating the database on past daily KOS reports, there will also be a check of the atmosphere of trends driving politics.
2028 Favorites: Harris Slip, Booker Boom, but what about AOC?
It will be April 2025, five months after the presidential election was pushed down significantly. I know what that means. 2028 Presidential race.
Since last year’s election, Echelon Insights has conducted four polls asking voters who support whether the 2028 presidential primary was held today. And in it First polljust a few days after the 2024 election, 41% of Democratic voters and democratic independences supported Kamala Harris as theirs. Next Presidential candidate.
But now, Three months after President Donald Trump’s fresh hell, if the 2028 Democratic primary took place today, only 28% would set Harris back. New data From the same pollster.
Harris still leads the field of research on 20 potential candidates, but her support declined in each survey conducted by pollers.
So who else is paying attention?
New Jersey Senator Corey Booker jumped to second place. In March, only 2% of Democrat voters wanted him to be the next candidate, but now he’s away from him. A fiery, anti-Trump speech from marathons On the Senate floor, his support jumped to 11%.
He was followed by New York State Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (7%), former Transport Secretary Pete Battigeg (7%), and Minnesota Gov. Tim Waltz (5%). Other names don’t receive more than 5% support. (Buttigieg, Booker and Ocasio-Cortez also lead. Another poll This excludes Harris from the list of options. )
However, Ocasio-Cortez’s outlook could be underestimated. One, she is currently in A Cross Country Tour It depicts Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and tens of thousands of people Dark red area Country. And with certain support from Sanders, she probably has progressive lanes herself, but the other candidates probably try to soften each other.
But more importantly, Yale University’s new poll In 2028, she shows her two seconds behind Harris. Between Democrat voters and democratic independences, Harris pulls out a 27.5% support and an Ocasio-Cortez score of 21.3%. There are no other names options with support of over 15%.
Polls found that she is the most favourite of potential 2028 Democratic candidates, with a net favour of +62. Harris is second with +59.
Harris’ 2028-related support may also continue to decline. After all, she did lose Last year’s election, and Democrats will be even more wary of supporting her on her second trip at the White House. Harris is currently weighing and setting the California governor’s run. Voluntary summer deadline Decide. She became a clear favourite in that race, with 31% of California’s overall voice voters already supporting her for the job. New Votes From Emerson College.
If Ocasio-Cortez enters the 2028 Democratic primary, she will need to prove she can win voters in the general election. Dad’s hat “Abolishing ice”. Democrats will certainly hesitate to take the risk of choice after being burned last year.
That said, with an ideal, fresh, anti-established Democrat who is loved by young voters known for his powerful speeches, and a single parent born outside the United States. Ring some bells.
Global warming, personal threats
Good news for those who love bad news: More than ever, more Americans are worried about how harmful climate change can personally.
48% of Americans say global warming poses a “serious threat” to them and their lifelong lifestyles. New data from Gallup. That’s well above the average of 39% of Gallup’s votes since 1997, from a previous peak of 46% in 2023.
That said, 51% of Americans say they don’t pose a personal threat.
What’s strange is that more Americans than ever have said that the effects of climate change are unfolding now. According to Gallup, 63% say the effects of global warming have already begun, and another 23% say it will start in the future. A small 12% say these effects never happen.
The fiery silver lining of these numbers means that Americans take climate change more seriously than ever. The downside, however, is that the issue is much higher in issues such as drinking water safety and river pollution, and remains ranked at the bottom of the biggest environmental concerns.
Still, 63% of Americans worry about a lot or a fair amount of global warming. But it will definitely make things even worse if our politicians are so big enough that they are forced to meet at the moment.
That’s the “good” news here Things are very.
Republicans become soft in China – Weight, what?
As The infamous Shinophobe Trump slaps heavy tariffs in China, and few Americans see the world’s most populous country from a negative standpoint, but more strangely enough, it’s Trump’s Base It’s softer.
According to New data From the Pew Research Center, 33% of US adults have been “very” disadvantaged from 43% last year, down 10% points. Another 44% view China at a “somewhat” disadvantage. This shows that for the first time in five years, the percentage of Americans who are unfavourable has declined from the previous year.
Republicans are the main responsibility of that decline, and their highly disadvantaged view of China has fallen 16 percentage points from last year. And the percentage of people with disadvantaged views (“very” or “somewhat”) fell by 8 percentage points.
This is because Republicans view China as less threatening and less when they consider the country to be the world’s leading economic and military force.
For Democrats, the survey found a five-point decline from 2024. Democrats have also been less critical of China for a long time than Republicans.
The investigation was filed before Trump’s “liberation day” tariffs, so he 145% tariff China (or Is it 245%?? ) reminded Republicans to hate the nation once again.
Are there any updates?
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Maine It has been related to many years Republican Sen. Susan Collins holds his seat The Democrats must win With a real shot of recurring the chamber in the near future, a new poll brings welcome news. Collins is far less popular than she was at this point ahead of her reelection in 2020. Morning consultation. In 2019, 52% of Maine voters approved the job she was doing, while 39% disapproved. Currently, 42% have approved and 51% have disapproved.
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Trump administration is illegally deported Maryland’s father and Student Activists Without a legitimate process, there is little public support. a New polls Progress data shows that even most Republicans support providing legal immigrants with general due process rights, such as the right to fair trial. Additionally, 57% of voters believe that undocumented migrants should be able to be deported only if the government provides evidence of deportation and provides hearings.
Vibrator check
Democrat voters’ views on Harris have been slightly worse since the 2024 election. civiqs. The day before last election, 93% of Democrat voters had a positive view of her, but only 5% had negative views.
However, as of past Mondays, only 87% have a favorable view of her, with 8% at a disadvantage.
Also noteworthy is that Civiqs has been tracking her favors since November 2017 and what she has. Once There was a net positive rating among all registered voters.
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