Early December, i I warned That Donald Trump’s plan to abolish mass abolition could backfire Republicans. Core issues? Human resources. It takes a lot of resources to bring together undocumented immigrants. This can only be achieved in red states where Republican governors are likely to lend their own law enforcement forces to help us immigrate and customs enforcement. In sanctuary cities, federal agents are mostly their own agents.
This dynamic has serious implications 2030 Census and Redistributable. Undocumented immigrants teeth It can be counted in the census. Deportation and fear-driven movement to safer states may reduce the population of Republican bases like Florida and Texas, and those states may win fewer house seats than expected. Meanwhile, blue states like California, Illinois and New York are on track to lose their representation, but you can see these losses soften.
That was the theory of the time. Now we see some evidence that it may be playing.
New works The Times of London tells anecdotes. Miami’s construction manager witnessed an assault in which between 15 and 20 federal agents and police officers attacked his workplace. “It was just a show of power, and it seemed like too much on top,” the manager said.
And that’s true and Support from local police. That’s exactly why Trump cracks down. The Struggle in the Sanctuary City– In addition to local cooperation, a mutual aid network that sounds alarms when ice is nearby.
In Miami, results are piling up rapidly.
First, it suffocates Florida’s booming construction industry. “In January, the associated builders and contractors (trade organizations) thought they needed to attract 439,000 workers this year to meet demand,” the Times reported.
Without them? The rise in labor, housing and construction costs.
But instead of recruiting more workers, Florida is bleeding them. And another Trump’s actions make things even worse. “We expect this to be further reduced after the administration has successfully removed temporary protection status (TPS), immigration status types from 472,000 Venezuelans.” The era Note. “Hundreds of thousands of people of other nationalities could lose their TPS.”
Republicans often argue that reducing the immigrant population will lower housing prices. The worst criminals include right-wing Cuban retirees, like Havana-born Jose Martinez, who came during the Mariel Boat Lift. “I’m sorry, but that’s true, we don’t know who these people are,” he told The Times. “We came here the right way, we came legally. These people are different. Some of them are criminals.”
Apparently, the “right way” meant getting the goodwill of the Cold War, which Cubans enjoyed at the expense of all other Latinx groups. And as an honest observer tells you, that The policy was ridiculous. Mariel Boat Lift? Included Tens of thousands of criminals Because it’s Fidel Castro Empty his prison In Florida.
The Republican issues include: Florida’s economy cannot sustain enthusiastic growth without new housing. Labor. Instead, labor shortages (and Trump’s tariffs) keep costs down and stop people from moving there. Furthermore, deportation itself further reduces national population growth and affects census counts and state counts Projection pickup Four election votes and a House seat.
And, as I predicted, immigrants are fleeing Florida. Same construction manager? After the raid, another of his crew (with legal work status) is from left to left for Georgia, where immigration enforcement is lightweight.
Los Angeles could become a magnet for immigration despite Trump’s best efforts to crack down on him. With tens of thousands of homes needing reconstruction and no local labor to do so quickly, migrant workers go to places where they can earn money and live in peace.
Trump unleashed policies that master economic and demographic trends. The fallout can be huge. And it’s unlikely to benefit those who supported him.
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