Julia Azzari“It’s worth noting that while Vance won his 2022 Senate race, he finished well behind Republican gubernatorial candidate Mike DeWine, which raises questions about whether Vance is a good campaigner or even a particularly strong candidate…”
“Perhaps the main takeaway is that even in this national environment, while there are candidates who outperform their party in competitive states (e.g., Marco Rubio won over 57% of the vote in 2022, while Trump won 51% of the vote in Florida in 2020), Vance is not one of them.”
“What all of this means is that Trump, buoyed and emboldened by Biden’s poor debate performance and the increased attention he’s receiving after the July 13 assassination attempt, picked Vance. Trump seems convinced that America loves him and that his running mate doesn’t need to overcome shortcomings in that area. It’s too early to seriously speculate whether that’s true now or in November, but there’s plenty of historical evidence that Trump and Trumpism are true. Safe National Election Gambling.”
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