About a year later, we have returned to the same tired drama, almost a year after the parliament has pledged to accept “normal order”, “responsible governance” and “appear for work”. Masu. This time, dysfunction is not limited to spending and debt. This is a preview of the Trump administration’s unpredictable rules and the continuous GOP internal identity crisis.
At the center of this melodrama is the battle between the two Republican factions. One side is dominated by a tax reformer who promotes a single “large and beautiful bill” to ensure the GOP legislative agenda as a whole. Tax reduction, expenditure reduction, energy reform, border security. Theoretically, you can get the coalition once and use the budget adjustment process to narrow down everything that can be regarded as financial issues without considering 60 Filibuster of the Senate. I feel this approach is attractive. (GOP has the advantage of 53 to 47 Senate and 220-215 houses. It is allowed to expire at the end of 2025, but the tax law is complicated and budget bill. Is even more complicated.
On the other side is the immigration Hawks that wants to take advantage of the slim majority of the border walls and the more strict restrictions of legal immigrants. They say that tax issues can be dealt with in the second invoice, and provide a classic “Today’s hamburger for tomorrow’s dollar”. Since this type of transaction has been rarely awarded recently, it is correct for tax reformers to be nervous. This is not a battle for legislative priority items. This is a referendum for what kind of party the GOP wants.
The tax worker speaks a language recognized by voters who are at least interested in reducing federal fiscal prints for all flaws. Tax reductions have more freedom to spend your own money, reduce government interference on economic decisions, and may be a little less deficit. Immigration people are another story. Their playbooks are more powerful government management. Walls, prohibits, and harsher execution mechanisms are not only restricting immigrants. They limit freedom. Human costs are borne not only by immigrants, but also by Americans who notice that they are alive under the growing monitoring state.
Currently, the tax team has an advantage. The idea of ​​one building has emerged as a favorite approach among the GOP readers. They estimate that the combination of tax reform and immigration measures with a single package can rationalize negotiations and reduce internal rebellion opportunities. Of course, large invoices are expensive SOPs for purchasing individual votes, and more words than anyone can handle, so no one has time before reading the law. Includes situations. I am convinced that the bill grows, but the beauty is always in the eyes.
Participate in the newly launched President Donald Trump and Wild Card Chief. As usual, nobody really knows, so everyone is waiting for him to see what he wants. he You may not know -You will say that he is supporting One invoiceHe will say next two It may be a better bet. Do you have a focus conservative who wants to focus on tax reform? Or will he be a hard -line immigrant? This is a high stakes drama of DC for the current and next four years. Trump’s unpredictable possibility is his best tool to win the battle he is concerned about, a battle for spotlights. He enjoys the role of starring as the last arbitrator in the GOP priority.
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Big financial photos are really tough. Public federal debt is $ 29 trillion, so it is difficult to understand. Last year’s debt maximum contract was to impose new expenditures, but Congress has already found creative methods around them.
The budget device and the operation of the off -book guarantee that the existence of expenditures does not decline while the taxpayer holds the bag.
This is not the first time that the parliament had come to a financial confrontation. For decades, budget dispute has been functioning as a proxy battle for deeper ideology gaps. The closing of the government in the 1990s, the position of the debt limit of the Obama era (and remixes with a different party alliance under Trump), or infinite battle over the sub -bill repeated: Highly unusual patterns: Financial discipline. The rhetoric continues. You can run through the cans by trading in the backroom. The two parties share the responsibility of long -term erosion for explanatory accountability. The Democratic Party has been looking for a vast government program. Republican members refuse to work on qualifications (true propulsion of debt) while seeking tax cuts.
Some GOP members tried to sound an alarm about the long -term results of runaway expenditures. However, their warnings have fallen into their invisible ears. Instead, the party’s IONS is trapped in a priority battle, focusing on immediate political victory. Immigration Hawks claims to raise the wall as a red line, but tax cutters require laws to reduce the depth of companies and high -income earners.
Our eternal budget week is not just a legal circus. It is a window to the soul of the GOP and a precursor in the future. What happens if the Republican member doesn’t agree to the current strategy with the current triple squad, if the grid rock inevitably returns? If they chose to pan for financial issues in Trump in the first few days, what are your hopes for meaningful reforms?
In the Trump era, it promised confusion, which was realized, but it was not a method that the fiscal reformer might have wanted. Instead of shaking the current situation with smaller governments and greater freedom, we created a new path for dysfunction and concentration. The fact that GOP cannot be effectively governed is both the symptoms and causes of this major problem. Until the party understands what the Republican members are, you can expect to be confused by just winning the next news cycle.
This article was originally printed under the headline “Large and beautiful invoice?”
