Climate change is no longer a distant threat. I’m changing my grocery bill today. Energy-intensive agriculture and transport systems that bring strawberries throughout December and year Coffee contributes to climate change and is disrupted by it. It’s a troublesome environmental justice issue It has already been produced by 27 countries that are hungry hot spots Less than 5% of total emissions of G7 countries.
The scientific consensus is Average temperature rise in the center of 3-4 degrees It puts global food security at risk, threatens all populations, and sends hundreds of millions of people in search of food. a Recent Arizona State University Survey It concluded that global agriculture produce could fall by 35% by 2100.
For now, wealthy countries are buffered from hunger. But no one is immune In a changing climate. If you’re paying attention to grocery bills in 2025, you’ve already noticed that some of your favorite foods are becoming more complicated and more expensive to find. Thanks to climate change, we are paying more for today’s eight foods.
coffee
Like soybeans, coffee is grateful for the warm, moist climate. Coffee grows throughout the tropical region, Brazil is the world’s largest producer. Brazil grows 28% of the world’s heat-resistant robusta and 41% of the more delicious, more heat-sensitive Arabica. but Brazil saw it A significant reduction in coffee yield Thanks to climate change.
a Research predicts The global area suitable for Arabica coffee will decrease by half by 2050. In 2024 alone Arabic prices have risen 80%wholesale prices reach nearly 50 years’ highs. Brazil’s continued drought situation is expected to affect almost 60% of the country and drive production 4.4% decrease in 2025coffee prices skyrocketed to historic highs in 2025, and since 2023 the average cost of special coffee has increased by 37%.
At temperatures, some farmers in Italy want to grow coffee beans soon. But even if Italy gives up on growing tomatoes, it’s not enough to replace the 2.16 million hectares Brazil is currently dedicated to coffee.
chocolate
Bad news for chocolate lovers: The climate crisis is struggling with cocoa production. Cocoa grows mainly in Ivory Coast and Ghana. There, increasingly severe droughts have become a large area that is not suitable for crop growth.
In 2024, global cocoa stocks fell to their lowest levels in a decade. The price hike meant that Cocoa outweighed the growth of all other products in the value chain. By early 2025, chocolate makers like Hershey will report profit forecasts below analyst expectations, further increasing the cost of premium chocolate products 30% in some markets.
Low supply and surge in costs have led to innovation in the chocolate industry. Nautical food, Planet A Foodsand Food Brewer Develop cocoa-free alternatives to prevent the industry in the future.
Corn (corn)
The United States is the second largest corn grower in the world (post China), producing billions of pounds per year, mainly in California and the Midwest. Climate change is already affecting this important crop, and NASA research shows that corn yields are possible It will decrease by 24% in 2030 Under a greenhouse gas emission scenario.
a 2025 Research I found it from the Environmental Defense Fund Almost every county in Iowa can see corn yields of more than 5% lower than that without climate change. By 2030, more than half had seen a decline of over 10%. These reductions can have a major impact on everything from food prices to ethanol production.
Effects vary by region. sThe optimal growth conditions are seen in the Omme area of the southeastern United States, but drought conditions and higher growth temperatures have led to significant crop failures nationwide in recent years.
avocado
Avocados need a temperature that is not too hot or too cold. Mexico offers 80 to the USThat avocado percentage is caught up in a troublesome cycle: Climate change affects Crops, farmers are under pressure to grow more to keep up with the surge in global demand.
Avocado prices available An average increase of 17% Between 2023 and 2025. In particular, by cutting forests in the Amazon, we are expanding farmland and contributing to climate change. Extraordinary weather already threatens production, creating a vicious cycle of warm temperatures that contribute to climate decline, further exacerbating climate change. Water shortages are a particularly problematic issue. An average avocado requires about 60 gallons of water In California, up to 85 gallons in Mexico grows during a period of increasingly precious water in drought-hit regions.
Companies like Chipotle cite the rising costs of avocados as a reason for rising menu prices. December 2024, Chipotle has raised menu prices by 2%Hiking is due to an increase in the cost of major ingredients including avocados.
Rice
Rice is a staple food for more than half the world’s population. Climate change affects rice in multiple ways. Increased flooding in some areas, drought in others, and increased temperatures that reduce yields.
According to 2025 research published in Natural foodGlobal warming is 2°C (3.6°F), with up to 31% of the staple crop production sites being lost, with rice being one of the most affected crops. Also, higher CO2 levels reduce rice nutrients, lower protein, iron and zinc content, and reduce the nutrients of billions who rely on rice as their primary food source.
In Southeast Asia, where much of the world’s rice is cultivated, unpredictable monsoon patterns disrupt traditional growth seasons, leading to price fluctuations in global markets.
wheat
Global warming has different effects on wheat across regions. At northern latitudes, warming temperatures extended growth periods, while heat stress and drought reduced yields in warmer regions. NASA Climate Model Project The wheat had been able to find global growth of around 17% demand by 2030, which overshadows major regional fluctuations.
Global production could increase, but climate instability means more unpredictable harvest and price volatility. In recent years, extreme weather events such as the unprecedented heatwave in the Pacific Northwest have been damaging wheat crops at critical stages of growth.
Developmental concerns are that while it can promote growth, elevated Co2 levels reduce the protein content of wheat and reduce the nutritional value of everything from bread to pasta.
soy
Whether you’re a steak lover or a vegan relying on protein tofu, your diet is based on soybeans. US, Brazil, Argentina It produces around 80% of the world’s soybeans, a major contributor to South America’s deforestation.
Recent US departures in agriculture modeling By 2036, soybean yields will decline by 3.0%, reversing the growth trends over the past month. In some states, these effects can be felt more severe. We see that soybean yields decrease by up to 7.1% in US-centric states.
This decline not only affects tofu, but it also affects everything from animal feed to vegetable oil production. The US is expected to reduce its soybean exports by $319 million by 2036, with a $171 million reduction in China alone.
tomato
The US is the second largest Tomato grower Worldwide (post China) produces 35 billion pounds of tomatoes per year, mainly in California and Florida. However, the US still imports more than half of fresh tomatoes from Mexico and Canada. As the effects of climate change are increasingly felt through wildfires and droughts, that percentage may have to grow (it is Domestic shortage 2021).
Meanwhile, Florida is experiencing an unprecedented hurricane season. Italy is another major tomato grower, but they suffer Lack of cans To export tomatoes, you may still want to start growing your own tomatoes as much as you can.
egg
Egg production is primarily affected by disease outbreaks rather than direct climate effects, but we feel the effects of climate-related stressors. The ongoing avian influenza epidemic, which has led to more than 160 million birds, is exacerbated by changes in poultry migration patterns and stress associated with climate factors.
USDA predicts Egg costs will increase by 41% in 2025which means that eggs can cost as much as $7 per dozen. This rapid increase has accelerated the development of alternatives such as plant-based liquid forms and precision fermented egg proteins.
Your conclusion
Food is a globally traded product, and climate events in one region often cause prices to rise. A global shortage. What we see in 2025 is just the beginning of what economists call “climate.” There, extreme weather events will raise sustained food prices around the world.
Central Banks around the world are currently investigating the price impact of climate change, and forecasts suggest global warming I did it Up to 3% points Annual food inflation and up to 1.2 points will be finding inflation rates around the world by 2035.
Good news? We can act now. supTelling regenerative agriculture, reducing food waste, and moving towards a more climate-sensitive diet will help ensure the future of our food. All the food choices we make today will affect tomorrow’s menu.
eDitor’s Note: This article was originally published Updated on April 5, 2022 and May 2025 with the latest data and surveys.
