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Washington and your guide to what the world’s 2024 US election means
The market was a fool on Saturday and a wise judge on Monday. When Donald Trump announced tariffs on American neighbors last weekend, the investor who talked about the US President, which was misunderstood in November, was revealed as simple. 48 hours. Then he proved more or less. Customs duties have been postponed to return to Canada and Mexico’s warranty for drug transportation over borders and other Trump Bugbears. Investment banks can postpone a sheep -like client calling until March.
Of course, the world is stupid to relax. Trump may crush the trading system over the next few years, even if he begins to meet. But without anything else, for the past few days, it was an art education to deal with him.
Trump argues very fast, so people tend to miss calm down. He rarely drives bargains, as he promises a strong attitude. In 2020, China bought peace with an ambiguous and difficult pledge to reduce trade imbalance. (“The biggest trading that everyone has seen so far,” he said I called itFocus on external perception. Similarly, he did not throw away NAFTA. What he cares about is not a fanatic but an egoist, as his reputation as a trading manufacturer. To continue that, he needs their regular flow. And their content becomes secondary. We can laugh OCK, but the lessons here for the country facing Trump are encouraging. Give him what he can do phone victory. The concessions are not so big, and he will actually cooperate in talking about its importance.
Also, he doesn’t seem to care about all the coins he paid. Trump is open to what Henry Kissiner called “Linkage”. If he is angry at one thing, he may be clearly relieved with a gesture on something unrelated. Do you want to avoid the trade war in Europe? Please spend more on defense. Do you want to prevent Ukraine betrayal? Relieves the regulations of the technical department. It is difficult to know more about Trump’s ceasefire with the northern and southern counterparts: their concessions (Justin Toldo has appointed Fentanil’s “Emperor”) or economics The first place in the fact that the fact that drug policy is confused in this way is confused in this way.
Yes, Trump threatens to drive out industrial investment from Europe to the United States. However, because of his dissatisfaction, Europe is pampered for what he provides. In that sense, he may be easier than Defang, than Joe Biden, who did not think NATO was a free rider club. There was nothing that Europe could provide him in terms of facing the United States’s first industrial plan. You may be with Trump. The very delusion of his world view -the United States is always torn by almost everyone -there is many entries for negotiations.
If Trump is paradoxical, if it is an aggressive soft touch, it will appear not only in his international three -dimensional learning, but also in his personal relationship. Think of all the Republican Republicans of the former enemy who found a way to return to his blessings. Stint in Trump’s dog hut is unpleasant, but often shorter. His vice -president is a fierce critic. So is his Secretary of State. This should not be mistaken for the grandness of the Trump side or the enormous soul. Instead, I think he has a slow pleasure that someone has been obeying him for many years than the former highest grade to destroy them. His belief is that his belief that the ultimate elimination of the enemy does not Spare is not spare.
In fact, Trump may prefer a slander before he bends his knees than a faithful long -standing fan. (Where is the conquest with them?) If so, David Ramy and Peter Mandelson make a evil meaning, not the British Secretary of Foreign Affairs and Washington’s ambassador. Their past jive in the president is a point, not responsibility. If Trump’s stubborn guarantee from the beginning, the location of Nigel Farrage in the Maga Court would not be so uncertain.
A small step toward Trump has tended to be well received, whether in personal areas or geopolitics. The abnormal UG of his statement makes it difficult to see it. When the US president wants to “take over” Gaza and develop it into Levantin’s Cote Dazul, he throws his bones to him and seems meaningless. But the record is a record. Of course, the problem of this debate is that it is self -born. The habit of declaring the victory in the conflict of the president is almost as easy as he starts, and his ego does not have it. He strengthens his demands.
Until then, countries that are fighting with him must use what they have. Evidence of his personal influence is that the restless kunar of Trump after “transaction” could be exploited. Eventually, the market is still simple about him, whatever the news to save on Monday morning. For those who are aware that trade and internationalism have raised many humanity, there is no surprising news for the next four years.
Jan.ganesh@ft.com